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Bank Credit Analysis Tool

The Credit Budget
break-even calculator

A single-product financing tool that turns five figures from a cost sheet into a clear lending answer: how much this product must sell, this year, to safely carry the loan used to fund it — and whether that number is realistic.

§ 00Zz

Run the calculator

All fields are required

Choose the degree of efficiency that is targeted to achieve

The value of the sale price of the product per unit:

   The value of product cost per unit:

   Share of product from general expenses including depreciation:

   The share of the product from the debit interest, which is paid annually:

   The share of the product from total fixed and current assets:

 
             
§ 01Aa

What this tool is

The Credit Budget calculator (also labelled the debit budget on the tool itself) is a small underwriting worksheet built around one product line. Instead of modelling an entire company, it isolates a single product's price, cost, overhead share, financing cost, and asset share, and works backward from those five numbers to a required sales target.

It belongs to the family of break-even and margin-of-safety techniques long used in bank credit training: rather than asking "will this company be profitable," it asks the sharper question a loan officer actually needs answered — "how much does this specific product have to sell for the credit facility behind it to be safe?"

§ 02Bb

The goal it serves

The calculator exists to turn a lending decision into a sales target that both the bank and the borrower can check against reality. It does this in two linked steps:

  • Operating sufficiency — confirm the product can cover its own cost, its share of overhead, and still leave an acceptable net profit at the safety margin the analyst chooses.
  • Financing sufficiency — confirm the product can additionally generate enough extra sales to cover the interest on the credit facility funding it, without eating into that profit.

The output is a single number — the total annual sales required — that becomes the test of the deal: if the marketing or sales function can credibly reach it, the facility is approved; if not, the bank withholds it.

§ 03Cc

How it works

The calculation runs in five stages once a form is submitted:

Sanity checks

Rejects the entry immediately unless the sale price exceeds the unit cost, and unless the product's asset share exceeds both the price and the cost — a guard against unrealistic or mistyped figures before any budget is built.

Unit economics

Derives the gross margin per unit and an average capital-recovery ratio that links the price, the average cost tied up per unit, and the margin — this ratio is what later scales a target profit figure up into a target sales value.

Choosing the safety margin

The analyst picks one of three efficiency degrees (see §04). Each maps to a fixed multiplier applied to the asset share — the stricter the degree, the smaller the multiplier, and the higher the net profit the assets are required to generate.

Operating budget

Works backward from the target net profit to a target gross profit, then uses the capital-recovery ratio to size the Sales Value and Purchases Value needed to produce it — this is the first statement the tool prints.

Credit budget & total

Repeats the same back-solving using the interest share instead of the asset share, producing the extra sales needed purely to cover financing cost at zero added net profit. The two sales figures are added into the final required annual sales figure.

§ 04Dd

Data you need on hand

All fields are required and refer to a single product, on an annual basis where noted.

f1
Sale price per unit of the product
f2
Cost per unit of the product
f3
Product's annual share of general expenses, including depreciation
f4
Product's annual share of the debit (loan) interest
f6
Product's share of total fixed and current assets
degree
Chosen efficiency / safety degree — see §03 and the table below
DegreeReadingMultiplier
GoodBaseline — the starting point of safety× 4.5
Very goodA tighter, more demanding safety margin× 3.5
High very goodThe strictest scenario the tool offers× 2.5

The tool also validates that f1 > f2, f6 > f1 and f6 > f2 before it will calculate anything.

§ 05Ee

Reading the three statements

  • Operating (debit) budget — sales value, minus purchases, equals gross profit; minus expenses, equals net profit at the chosen degree of safety. This is the product's ordinary trading picture.
  • Credit budget — the extra sales value needed on top of the above, purely to cover the debit interest. Net profit here comes out at zero by construction: it is designed to exactly offset the cost of the money borrowed, no more.
  • Combined statement — the operating sales value plus the credit sales value, printed as the total annual sales the marketing manager must achieve. The tool's own decision rule is blunt: if that volume is realistically marketable, the bank proceeds with the facility; if not, it should decline.
§ 06Ff

A worked example

A product priced at 120 per unit, costing 80 to make, carrying 15,000 of annual overhead and 5,000 of annual interest, against an asset share of 150,000 — evaluated at the Good degree of safety (× 4.5).

F1 · SALE PRICE
120.00
F2 · UNIT COST
80.00
F3 · EXPENSE SHARE
15,000.00
F4 · INTEREST SHARE
5,000.00
F6 · ASSET SHARE
150,000.00
DEGREE
Good ×4.5
Approved
for review

Operating budget — Good degree

Statement A
Sales value101,250.00
Minus purchases value67,500.00
Gross profit33,750.00
Minus expenses15,000.00
Net profit18,750.00

Credit budget — covering the interest

Statement B
Excess sales value15,000.00
Minus purchases value10,000.00
Gross profit5,000.00
Minus debit interest5,000.00
Net profit0.00

Combined requirement

Statement C
Sales value of the operating budget101,250.00
Excess sales value to cover interest15,000.00
Total annual sales required116,250.00
Reading the result: if the marketing manager can credibly commit to selling 116,250 worth of this product over the year, the facility can proceed — the product covers its own cost, its overhead share, its target profit at the "Good" safety margin, and the interest on the money borrowed to fund it. If that figure is not credible against the market the product sells into, the tool's own logic says decline the facility, regardless of how healthy the margin looks on paper.
§ 07Gg

Where it gets used

Credit & loan officersScreening a short-term facility request against one product line before it goes to committee.
SME owners & borrowersPreparing a defensible sales target to present alongside a loan application.
Financial analystsA fast break-even / margin-of-safety check on a single product's contribution.
Banking & finance trainingA teaching example of how a credit budget is built from a cost sheet, step by step.
§ 08Hh

What it gets right

  • Speed — a lending answer from five numbers, no spreadsheet model required.
  • Three safety scenarios at once — Good, Very good, and High very good let an analyst see how the required target moves as the margin tightens.
  • A concrete, testable target — the output is a sales figure, not a ratio, so it can be checked directly against a market or a sales pipeline.
  • Built-in cost discipline — refuses to run at all if the price undercuts the cost, or if the stated asset base looks unrealistic.
  • Separates operating risk from financing risk — the interest burden is isolated in its own statement rather than buried in overhead.
§ 09Ii

What it doesn't cover

  • Single product, single year — it does not model a portfolio of products or multi-year repayment.
  • Linear cost-volume-profit assumption — no economies of scale, no price elasticity as volume changes.
  • No demand-side check — it never asks whether the market can actually absorb the required sales volume; that judgement stays with the analyst.
  • Fixed multipliers — the 2.5 / 3.5 / 4.5 factors behind each safety degree are set constants, not figures derived from the specific borrower's history.
  • No time value of money — figures are treated as flat annual totals, with no discounting or cash-flow timing.
  • Depends on judgment-based allocations — the overhead and interest "shares" fed in as f3 and f4 are themselves estimates, and the output is only as reliable as they are.
  • Not a full credit assessment — it says nothing about collateral, repayment history, character, or macroeconomic conditions; treat it as one input into an underwriting decision, not the decision itself.
§ 10Pp

Evaluation report

The evaluation report below — description, mechanism, required data, results, and the worked example — is also available as a ready-made PDF file, generated in advance rather than exported from the browser.

Download PDF report